What products will soon rise in price in Russia

0
2444
products are getting more expensive, which products will rise in price

New price tags on food products have begun to appear in stores throughout Russia. What products will soon be able to appreciate, told reporters "Political class" Elena Tyurina (Director of Institute of agrarian marketing). Almost always its projections coincide with the data subsequently published by Rosstat.

Vegetables and fruits

Higher prices for vegetables and fruits started at the end of 2014. According to the forecasts of Elena Tyurina for the first 5 months of 2015, the price for these products will grow by 20-25 percent, i.e. a monthly price for fruit and vegetables will grow by about 4%. This situation stems from the fact that the Russian market has a large share of imported products.

In the market of fruits and vegetables exhibited the greatest dependence on imports. Russia refused imports from some countries, however, its own production still not in place – all this leads to higher prices.
In August, changed the geography of countries-suppliers. From Europe shifted to China, North Africa and Latin America.

How will the currency component on the price increase

If we assume that the dollar in 2015 will cost around 60 roubles (growth to 2014 will be 80%), then the selling price of the products from the wholesalers will naturally grow, which in turn will affect the growth of prices in retail. But we should not think that all goods will rise by this amount. Stores are unlikely to take such a sharp rise in prices, because the sales would be drastically reduced. The population will just reduce consumption.

Elena Tyurina assumes that in 2015 the average growth rate will be about 10% for produce. For comparison, in December 2014, according to Rosstat, tomatoes and cucumbers increased in price by about 5% per week, which amounted to a month – 20%.

Commenting on the situation, Elena Tyurina, reported that December was the beginning of a trend to higher prices, however, there has been a new year and component. In the period before the new year, the demand for products grows, which is used by sellers. After the new year, buyer activity decreases. The growth rate, accordingly, also reduced. If prices continue to rise at the same rate, then the demand will further decrease. Fruits and vegetables are the goods not the first necessity. Sellers perfectly know it, therefore "too far" will not.

Meat

As for meat, on it, on the contrary, at the end of 2014 witnessed a high growth relative to other product categories.

Commenting on the situation, Elena Tyurin has informed that the fact is quite normal. Growth was observed within the seasonal trend. Until may 2015, prices will likely stabilize at the current level. In may the peak will start approximately 5-7%. In September – October the prices will start to rise again.

Milk

2014 dairy products grew in price by about 15%. What will happen in 2015?

In answering this question, our expert, reported that milk yield is significantly reduced in winter, increased imports of milk powder. Where increased imports, there's always a price increase (due to fluctuations in the foreign exchange market). Dry milk imports account for about 30%. Therefore, expected price growth of 3-4% per month since February. The situation stabilized in may, when would increase raw milk from Russian manufacturers.

Juice

At the end of the year there was information that some providers have left before the new year the shops are literally no juices. The fact that the production of juice is very dependent on imports. Domestic production, mainly used imported concentrate. The price of this concentrate has a direct impact on the cost of the juice.

Juice production is a continuous process. In this case there is no particular seasonality. Before the New year demand has increased significantly, therefore and there was such a situation. Manufacturers and wholesalers were unwilling to sell at a loss, accordingly, the shipment has been stopped, the prices went up. While there were established new agreements, new contracts awarded – time was lost.

Fish

As for fish, the expert predicts a significant growth of prices for these products. Like the Russian organizations themselves caught, but significant volumes are imported, why, and projected high growth rates of prices (about 5% per month) and reduce the range.

Оставить комментарий

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here